Is the Climate Problem Worse than We Thought?

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Is the Climate Problem Worse than We Thought?

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The climate problem is worse than previously considered. More specifically, actual measurements show the rate-of-change is much higher than that predicted by climate models used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). These models are the basis for reports read by national leaders, and therefore drive policy.

The IPCC is increasingly under pressure to update these models, to better align with observations. If and when this occurs, we can expect a greater sense of urgency.

However, many so-called climate remedies are not effective, or not cost-effective. Therefore, expanding them is not likely to have a significant impact.

Fortunately, the climate problem can be resolved, as explained in the video below.

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By MRPeasy  05.01.2024

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By Global Unichip Corp.  04.18.2024

Our planet’s warming rate is on fire

According to actual temperature measurements, the average global temperature increased approximately 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) over the last 150 years. The rate that this increases is referred to as the “warming rate,” and it is typically described in units of degrees-Celsius-increase-per-decade.

Between 1970 and 2010, the warming rate was 0.18 degrees Celsius-per-decade (0.32 degrees Fahrenheit-per-decade). However, over the last 10 years, the warming rate increased 50% to 100%. In other words, the current warming rate is between 0.27 degrees Celsius/decade and 0.36 degrees Celsius/decade.

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Earth warmed 0.18°C per decade between 1970 and 2010, and this rate increased 50% to 100% over the last 10 years. (Source: Glenn Weinreb)

What happened?

The increase in the warming rate is not explained by more carbon dioxide, more methane, tipping points, or El Nino.

Dr. James Hansen is one of the world’s top climate scientists and for 32 years he served as the director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS). He believes the warming rate increase is due to less air pollution.

The world reduced air pollution over the last 10 years due to its harmful effects. It does this by filtering out pollutants before or after combustion. This caused less sunlight to reflect back into outer space, since light reflects off of air pollution. In other words, less air pollution leads to less reflected sunlight, which leads to less cooling and more warming.

What does this mean?

The observed change in warming rate implies the following:

  • The climate problem is worse than previously considered.
  • Significant changes to the planet will occur over the next 30 years if we do not increase the reflectivity of the atmosphere. These changes include less moisture in soil, less food production, more sea level rise, etc.
  • News reports over the next few years are likely to suggest a greater sense of urgency.
  • After the IPCC updates their reports, nations will be more inclined to spend money on climate.
  • Many so-called climate remedies are not effective, or not cost-effective. Therefore, expanding them is not likely to have a significant impact.

What to do?

The climate problem might seem overwhelming. However, it can be resolved with minimal disruption, which we explain in the following EE Times articles:

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